Ogre United vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+546%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
12º
12º
47
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 59 |
3º
|
66.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 44% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
34% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 4
OUD
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
OUD
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 2
SMI
14%
16%
70%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 3
OUD
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 7
MAR
16%
17%
67%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
7 - 0
MAR
75%
14%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
RIG
37%
23%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 3
SMI
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SUP
4 - 1
PRA
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
SUP
53%
22%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |