Ogre United vs Skanstes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
67.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+719%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
12º
11º
41
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
OUD
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 70 | 61 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
FKJ
3 - 1
OUD
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
OUD
4 - 0
RIG
32%
21%
47%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
OUD
1 - 1
PAR
16%
17%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 1
OUD
70%
17%
13%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Skanstes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
SKA
50%
21%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SKA
2 - 2
HJP
40%
22%
38%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SKA
2 - 1
VJK
24%
22%
54%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 2
SKA
74%
14%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |