Ogre United vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+546%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
12º
12º
50
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 59 |
3º
|
66.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 46% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
34% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
1 - 1
OUD
67%
17%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
OUD
74%
17%
10%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 0
OUD
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 2
RIG
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 70 | 51 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 1
SUP
15%
20%
66%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
11%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
RIG
25%
22%
54%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 1
PRA
71%
17%
13%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 2
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |