Ogre United vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+546%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
12º
12º
34
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 59 |
3º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
34% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 1
SUP
15%
20%
66%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 4
OUD
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
OUD
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 2
SMI
14%
16%
70%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 3
OUD
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
RIG
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
SMI
73%
17%
11%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 5
ARI
36%
22%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 4
RIG
19%
23%
57%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |