Ogre United vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+546%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
12º
12º
22
7º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 59 |
3º
|
66.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
34% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TUK
2 - 0
OUD
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 2
RIG
16%
21%
64%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
1 - 1
OUD
67%
17%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
OUD
74%
17%
10%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 0
OUD
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 3
MAR
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
KFV
60%
18%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
KFV
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
4 - 0
RFA
35%
21%
43%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
TUK
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |