Ogre United vs FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
79.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+719%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
12º
11º
19
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
OUD
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 53 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
0 - 1
FSL
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
0 - 3
ALB
12%
20%
68%
|
11 | 61 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 1
SKA
13%
20%
67%
|
10 | 54 | 44 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
OUD
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 70 | 61 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
TUK
34%
23%
44%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
2 - 0
PRA
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
TUK
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 1
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |