Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Kariana Erden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pirin Blagoevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BGA
3 - 3
OFK
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
OFK
0 - 0
ARK
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
POM
1 - 0
OFK
48%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
OFK
1 - 3
FCT
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
DOB
1 - 2
OFK
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kariana Erden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
KAR
1 - 1
LOV
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
STR
3 - 1
KAR
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
CSK
2 - 1
KAR
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
KAR
3 - 0
BGA
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ARK
2 - 0
KAR
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |