Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
6º
6º
33
2º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 11 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pirin Blagoevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OFK
0 - 0
CVA
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 2
OFK
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OFK
0 - 2
LUD
19%
24%
56%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SSO
0 - 0
OFK
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
OFK
2 - 1
ETA
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
ETA
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
BVR
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
BVR
0 - 0
FLK
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 0
BVR
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BVR
3 - 2
HEB
28%
27%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |