Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
5º
1º
32
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pirin Blagoevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 0
OFK
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 1
HEB
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 1
OFK
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
OFK
2 - 4
BOT
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
OFK
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
BVR
2 - 0
BER
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BVR
1 - 1
SVA
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
CSK
5 - 1
BVR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
BVR
2 - 1
LSO
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ARK
1 - 1
BVR
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |