Nikšić vs Igalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
10º
10º
38
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
59.5% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nikšić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 2
BER
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
FKM
5 - 0
OFK
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 0
OUL
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KOM
0 - 0
OFK
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 2
MLJ
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Igalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IGA
0 - 1
BOK
28%
29%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
IGA
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
IGA
0 - 0
FKM
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 1
IGA
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 1
KOM
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |