Nikšić vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
10º
10º
39
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
59.5% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nikšić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOK
2 - 1
OFK
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 0
OFK
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 1
IGA
29%
27%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
GRB
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
FKA
5 - 3
GRB
72%
19%
10%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
GRB
0 - 3
MLA
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
IGA
1 - 1
GRB
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |