OFK Levski vs Pavlikeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
9º
9º
9
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
9 | 28 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 26 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 22 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 21 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 20 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 20 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 17 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 16 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 13 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 11 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 10 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 10 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 8 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Levski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 0
OFK
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OFK
2 - 1
ETR
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ABV
2 - 0
OFK
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OFK
2 - 0
BTL
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
PAV
3 - 2
OFK
54%
22%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAV
4 - 3
BDI
13%
17%
70%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PAV
5 - 0
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VIH
4 - 0
PAV
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAV
1 - 1
LOK
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ASV
7 - 0
PAV
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |