OFK Beograd vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ZEM
1 - 1
BEO
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MLA
3 - 1
BEO
32%
29%
40%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BEO
1 - 1
ČUK
58%
25%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
BOR
0 - 0
BEO
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
HAJ
1 - 0
BEO
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SME
1 - 1
BZR
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BEA
1 - 2
SME
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
MLA
0 - 1
SME
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
SME
1 - 1
NAP
67%
22%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
BEO
1 - 2
SME
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |