OFK Beograd vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
BEO
1 - 1
JAV
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CRV
2 - 0
BEO
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BEO
1 - 1
MLA
71%
20%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
NAP
2 - 0
BEO
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BEO
0 - 3
ČUK
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
SME
0 - 1
BZR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
SME
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
SME
1 - 0
VOJ
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BOR
0 - 2
SME
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
SME
2 - 1
BEA
58%
24%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |