UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 3-4
OFK Beograd vs Slovácko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 0
BEO
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
TRA
3 - 5
BEO
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
BEO
6 - 1
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
RAD
2 - 2
BEO
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
BEO
4 - 0
VOJ
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Slovácko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 0
BEO
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
SOC
0 - 0
SLO
74%
16%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
SLO
0 - 3
SOC
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
HEL
2 - 0
SLO
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
SLO
4 - 0
HEL
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +2 |