OFK Beograd vs Radnički Kragujevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
8º
8º
34
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 49 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 44 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
84.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TSC
0 - 1
BEO
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 2
ČUK
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 0
BEO
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 0
TOD
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 2
BEO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Radnički Kragujevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 2
VOJ
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 0
RAD
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 0
RAD
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
RAD
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
MOR
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |