OFK Beograd vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
8º
8º
11
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 63 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 55 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 50 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 48 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 42 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 35 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 34 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 30 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
59.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
40.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 3
BEO
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BEO
3 - 5
RAD
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAC
0 - 1
BEO
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 2
ČUK
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 0
BEO
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
VOJ
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 2
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |