OFK Beograd vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
8º
8º
42
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 49 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 44 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
84.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 3
BEO
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BEO
3 - 5
RAD
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TSC
0 - 1
BEO
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 2
ČUK
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 0
BEO
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
VOJ
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 2
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |