Europa League 1/32
Global 5-3
OFK Beograd vs FK Dukla Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
DUK
2 - 2
BEO
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
CZJ
4 - 0
BEO
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
BEO
1 - 1
CZJ
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
DJU
2 - 2
BEO
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
BEO
4 - 1
DJU
48%
22%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
DUK
2 - 2
BEO
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
MAR
2 - 0
DUK
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
DUK
1 - 0
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1967 |
DUK
0 - 0
CEL
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
CEL
3 - 1
DUK
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |