Europa League 1/16
Global 1-8
OFK Beograd vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
DTB
3 - 0
BEO
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
BEO
0 - 1
PAN
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
PAN
1 - 2
BEO
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 0
BEO
80%
12%
8%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
BEO
3 - 2
TWE
36%
25%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
DTB
3 - 0
BEO
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
SSO
2 - 0
DTB
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
DTB
4 - 1
SSO
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
TWE
2 - 0
DTB
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
DTB
3 - 2
TWE
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |