Europa League Last 16
Global 3-1
OFK Beograd vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
BEO
2 - 1
FEY
24%
22%
53%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
FEY
4 - 3
BEO
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
BEO
3 - 1
DUK
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
DUK
2 - 2
BEO
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
CZJ
4 - 0
BEO
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
CVA
1 - 0
BER
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
BER
1 - 3
BOT
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
LSO
2 - 0
BER
55%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
BER
1 - 0
TUN
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1972 |
BUD
1 - 0
BER
47%
21%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |