UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 0-2
OFI vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
TOB
1 - 0
OFI
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAO
1 - 0
OFI
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
OFI
3 - 1
PAN
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
XAN
4 - 1
OFI
41%
30%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
OFI
2 - 1
ION
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
TOB
1 - 0
OFI
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
SLI
0 - 2
TOB
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
TOB
1 - 1
SLI
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
ZES
2 - 0
TOB
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
TOB
3 - 0
ZES
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |