OFI vs Athens Kallithea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
14º
8º
15
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 57 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 51 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 42 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 39 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 19 |
13º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 0
OFI
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
OFI
3 - 1
VNF
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PAO
1 - 2
OFI
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
OFI
0 - 1
PAN
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 3
OFI
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athens Kallithea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
PGE
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 1
OLP
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 3
ATR
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 0
KAL
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 3
TRI
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |