OFI vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
HAL
2 - 1
OFI
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
OFI
1 - 1
PAN
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
OFI
1 - 1
PAN
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PAN
1 - 0
OFI
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
OFI
2 - 2
IRA
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
XAN
1 - 0
ARI
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ARI
1 - 0
PAN
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
ARI
0 - 2
IRA
36%
26%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 0
ARI
21%
28%
51%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ARI
3 - 0
AKR
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |