Offenburger FV vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Offenburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ILL
2 - 1
OFF
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
OFF
0 - 3
NEC
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
AST
2 - 1
OFF
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OFF
1 - 2
NOR
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BON
3 - 0
OFF
40%
24%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 0
ULM
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ULM
4 - 1
NOR
80%
13%
6%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 1
ULM
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ULM
2 - 1
VFR
77%
15%
9%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 2
ULM
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |