Offenburger FV vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Offenburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
OFF
0 - 4
SGS
13%
20%
67%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
KIR
3 - 2
OFF
85%
11%
5%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
OFF
1 - 2
KEH
16%
21%
63%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
OFF
1 - 5
HOF
11%
20%
69%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
6 - 1
OFF
82%
12%
5%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
FRE
3 - 2
CRA
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
STU
1 - 1
FRE
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 4
AUI
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 2
FRE
55%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 1
SGS
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |