DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 3-8
Offenburger FV vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Offenburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
OFF
1 - 4
BRE
8%
15%
77%
|
16 | 82 | 66 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
FCB
2 - 1
OFF
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 57 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
OFF
3 - 0
REI
15%
21%
63%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | +6 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
ROT
1 - 0
OFF
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 55 | 45 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
AUG
4 - 2
OFF
78%
12%
9%
|
10 | 60 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
BVB
1 - 1
MON
35%
25%
41%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1987 |
FCN
0 - 0
BVB
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1987 |
BVB
2 - 0
HOM
69%
17%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1987 |
WAL
1 - 0
BVB
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
BVB
1 - 3
BYM
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |