Offenburger FV vs 1.FC Rielasingen-Arlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
11º
17º
12º
37
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Offenburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OFF
2 - 5
VIL
31%
25%
45%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OFF
2 - 1
FSV
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ATS
5 - 0
OFF
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
OFF
0 - 0
RAV
25%
22%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OBE
3 - 0
OFF
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
1.FC Rielasingen-Arlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
1FC
1 - 4
NEC
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FSV
4 - 0
1FC
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
1FC
0 - 0
ATS
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
RAV
0 - 1
1FC
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
1FC
1 - 1
OBE
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |