OFC Sliven 2000 vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFC Sliven 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
NEF
0 - 0
SLI
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SLI
2 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SLI
0 - 0
NES
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DOB
0 - 0
SLI
23%
27%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 2
ETA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SVA
1 - 0
BOT
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LYU
1 - 2
SVA
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
DOB
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 0
SVA
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 0
DOB
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |