Oeste vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
OES
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OES
1 - 0
TUP
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
OES
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OES
1 - 0
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OES
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 0
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
TUP
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |