Oeste vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
59%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
OES
0 - 0
SAM
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
OES
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
OES
3 - 1
CEA
17%
26%
57%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 1
OES
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OES
2 - 1
BOA
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
VAS
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
LUV
76%
17%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 3
VAS
28%
27%
46%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
VAS
22%
24%
55%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
0 - 5
AVA
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |