Oeste vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 1
OES
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AUD
1 - 0
OES
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
OES
1 - 2
COR
19%
28%
53%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
XVD
3 - 2
OES
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
OES
1 - 2
ITU
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAU
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 3
ATL
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
PAU
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
PAU
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |