Oeste vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
OES
1 - 1
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
OES
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
OES
4 - 0
LIN
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
OES
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
OES
3 - 1
AUD
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
4 - 0
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
POA
2 - 0
PAR
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 3
CEU
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 2
COT
12%
21%
68%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CIA
3 - 0
PAR
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |