Oeste vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
OES
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 0
OES
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
OES
3 - 0
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 0
OES
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
OES
1 - 3
AMF
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
LUV
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 1
NAU
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 2
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |