Oeste vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
OES
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 2
OES
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
OES
1 - 1
BOT
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
OES
1 - 2
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 1
OES
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MOG
1 - 2
GUA
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
MOG
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 0
MOG
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MOG
2 - 0
SAO
14%
23%
63%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PPE
1 - 1
MOG
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |