Oeste vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
OES
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
OES
2 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
OES
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 0
OES
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
OES
3 - 0
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
LUV
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
JEC
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
JEC
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |