Oeste vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
OES
1 - 0
PAY
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
OES
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
ABC
0 - 0
OES
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
OES
1 - 2
ASA
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
OES
1 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
JEC
0 - 1
PAL
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
PAY
2 - 1
JEC
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
JEC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
JEC
3 - 1
FFL
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
JEC
2 - 3
BOA
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |