Oeste vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 4
OES
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OES
0 - 3
COR
13%
26%
61%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
COM
0 - 2
OES
43%
25%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
OES
2 - 1
PAU
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OES
3 - 2
POR
14%
21%
66%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 4
SAO
13%
21%
67%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 2
ITU
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
ITU
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |