Oeste vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
OES
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 3
OES
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
OES
0 - 0
BOA
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 0
OES
72%
20%
9%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
OES
0 - 3
SAO
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAL
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
ICA
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
PAY
4 - 3
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 3
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |