Oeste vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
OES
1 - 1
LIN
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 1
OES
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OES
85%
12%
4%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
OES
0 - 0
MIR
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
OES
2 - 3
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 4
MIR
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 2
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
74%
16%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
COR
18%
27%
55%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |