Oeste vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
OES
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
OES
3 - 2
VEL
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
OES
2 - 1
NOV
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
OES
24%
25%
50%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
OES
1 - 0
JEC
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAT
57%
22%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
MIR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 2
GUA
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
TUP
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |