Oeste vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OES
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
OES
2 - 1
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
OES
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
OES
1 - 2
CAX
33%
29%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
OES
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
DUQ
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 2
DUQ
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 2
MAD
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 2
DUQ
57%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |