Oeste vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
OES
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
OES
43%
24%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
OES
1 - 0
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 2
OES
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
OES
2 - 4
ATL
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 3
COM
72%
19%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
PAL
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |