Oeste vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 0
OES
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
OES
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 2
OES
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OES
1 - 1
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
3 - 2
OES
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
DUQ
69%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
CHA
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 0
CAX
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |