Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 2-2
Oeste vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
24.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
OES
1 - 1
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
OES
34%
29%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
OES
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
OES
2 - 1
POR
38%
30%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
OES
0 - 0
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 0
AFC
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 3
CAX
31%
30%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 1
CAX
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAX
2 - 1
SLU
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CAX
0 - 0
CAS
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |