Oeste vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
OES
1 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
OES
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 3
OES
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
OES
0 - 0
BOA
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 0
OES
72%
20%
9%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 0
ASA
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 1
BRA
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 1
ATL
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
ASA
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CEA
4 - 1
ASA
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |