Oedt vs Weiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
11º
9º
4
10º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 68 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 60 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 52 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 52 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 51 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 42 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 39 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 35 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 32 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 20 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
DLB
2 - 3
OED
71%
17%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OED
5 - 0
TRE
71%
16%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
OED
2 - 3
AUS
6%
13%
81%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
OED
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OED
3 - 2
VOC
44%
24%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
WEI
0 - 5
WAC
57%
20%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WEI
3 - 5
SVW
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DLB
2 - 2
WEI
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WEI
4 - 0
TRE
79%
13%
8%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HER
3 - 2
WEI
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |