Oedt vs Stadl-Paura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
7º
1º
0
16º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 2
OED
24%
21%
54%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OED
0 - 0
SPG
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 3
OED
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
OED
2 - 0
OST
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 3
OED
16%
20%
65%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Stadl-Paura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 3
UMA
7%
13%
81%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
10 - 0
STA
86%
10%
4%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 5
UNI
10%
17%
73%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
FRI
10%
14%
76%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
10 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |