Odd II vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 2
ODD
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
ODD
1 - 3
BRY
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ROS
2 - 0
ODD
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
FKA
5 - 0
ODD
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
ODD
2 - 0
NAR
56%
22%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 1
FFC
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NOT
0 - 4
VAR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
5 - 0
NAR
81%
13%
7%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 1
BRY
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 3
VAR
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |