Odd vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
SKE
3 - 1
ODD
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
STB
2 - 5
ODD
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
ODD
1 - 3
VKG
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
ODD
2 - 1
VKG
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
ODD
0 - 0
RBK
14%
18%
68%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
MOS
2 - 0
STB
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
VKG
1 - 1
MOS
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
MOS
1 - 4
RBK
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
RBK
4 - 1
MOS
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
MOS
0 - 2
BBS
23%
23%
55%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |