Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Odd vs IFK Mariehamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ODD
2 - 1
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
TRO
3 - 2
ODD
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
S08
0 - 0
ODD
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
ODD
2 - 0
MFK
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
HAU
3 - 1
ODD
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
IFK
2 - 0
PSK
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
IFK
1 - 0
SEI
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
ROP
0 - 0
IFK
34%
28%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
IFK
2 - 2
VAA
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
IFK
0 - 3
KUO
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |